Wally Weitz's Weitz Partners III Opportunity Fund 1st-Quarter Letter

Discussion of markets and holdings

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May 03, 2023
Summary
  • The fund returned 3.06% in the first quarter of 2023.
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The Partners III Opportunity Fund's Institutional Class returned +3.06% in the first quarter of 2023 compared to +7.18% for the Russell 3000. For the fiscal year ended March 31, 2023, the Fund's Institutional Class returned -15.80% compared to -8.58% for the Russell 3000.

The March failure of Silicon Valley Bank and two additional financial institutions touched off a wave of concern across financial markets. Swift action by the Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), and Treasury Department guaranteed that depositors of those institutions would not lose money, but confidence was and remains shaken in all but the largest financial institutions. These challenges introduce yet another variable to the Fed's inflation-fighting formula; as banks repair their balance sheets, financial conditions will further tighten. Fearful of recession and having endured last year's market declines, Wall Street has become even more adamant that the Fed should not only pause rate hikes now but move to cut them later this year. This widely held market consensus is squarely at odds with the Fed's stated intentions, setting up a showdown for the foreseeable future. Regardless of who is right or wrong, what ultimately matters is how the businesses we own operate and adapt.

The portfolio holdings most directly impacted by the bank failures of the first quarter were Charles Schwab (SCHW, Financial) and Fidelity National Information Services (FIS, Financial), both top detractors for the quarter. Schwab is likely best known for its leading market trading platform, but over the years its consumer banking operations have grown into the tenth largest bank in the U.S. We believe both the trading and banking franchises remain strong, however, the current interest rate environment (particularly the availability of highly attractive yields in money market funds versus traditional deposits) has diminished the earnings power of the bank, at least in the short term. Given this uncertainty, we elected to move to the sidelines for now and free up capital for higher-conviction investment alternatives. Banking software provider FIS's shares were also collateral damage as investors looked to shed any exposure to the small and regional banks that FIS serves. This, after several quarters of underwhelming operating results, lands FIS as our top detractor for the fiscal year period as well. Our FIS experience has been disappointing to be sure. But having re-underwritten our investment thesis and lowered our business value estimate, we believe investors have exacted too steep a penalty on FIS shares. From this lowered price, we are optimistic that new management can reestablish credibility with investors and unlock value through the planned separation of the banking software and merchant services businesses.

Beyond our financial holdings, Liberty SiriusXM's (LSXMA, Financial) quarterly declines were significant enough to land it on our quarterly detractors list. The company also joins Liberty Broadband on the detractors list for the fiscal year. Liberty Chairman John Malone and CEO Greg Maffei have a long, successful track record of pairing businesses with predictable and growing cash flow streams with prudent use of debt to enhance equity returns via share buybacks. SiriusXM and Charter Communications, the two primary operating entities of the Liberty holding companies, are two such examples. Lately, necessary operating investments (new satellites and streaming technology for Sirius, fiber-competitive speed upgrades and network expansions at Charter) have reduced the amount of capital available for repurchases. Investment cycles are not unusual, and both businesses will be better positioned afterward. We believe the long-term equity return potential remains intact. In the short term, we believe Liberty SiriusXM will also benefit from management's decision to separate Liberty SiriusXM into two distinct tracking stocks to individually highlight the value of its ownership stakes of SiriusXM and Live Nation — currently both attributed to Liberty SiriusXM shares. This move will facilitate greater transparency for shareholders and potentially help reduce the shares' discount to the market value of their underlying assets.

Although the first quarter saw some respite from 2022's declines, the Fund's short positions against market indices remained the top contributors to fiscal year performance. Meta Platforms' (META, Financial) “Year of Efficiency” (an initiative to restructure and improve financial performance) delivered a dramatic turnaround in its share price, recouping nearly all the losses from 2022. Delivering improved profitability in the near term is crucial, but we are encouraged for the long term by improving engagement trends and improved capabilities for advertisers in the aftermath of Apple's iOS changes that damaged some of Meta's ad targeting capabilities. Technology companies broadly delivered outsized gains in the quarter, including our holdings of Google parent Alphabet (GOOG, Financial), Amazon.com (AMZN, Financial), and Microsoft (MSFT, Financial), each a top contributor to first quarter results. Notably, Microsoft's timely addition to the portfolio during the fourth quarter was sufficient to drive a top result for the fiscal year.

We were net sellers during the first quarter. Schwab was the only holding to exit, and there were no new companies added to the portfolio. During the quarter, we covered the rest of our small short position in the shares of SiriusXM (SIRI, Financial) at a profit, while our short holdings of S&P 500 Index ETF remained unchanged. At quarter end, our gross long position declined to 92% from 98% of gross assets at the end of 2022, while our short position remained unchanged at 4% of gross assets. The Fund's effective net long position declined from 94% to 88%.

The opinions expressed are those of Weitz Investment Management and are not meant as investment advice or to predict or project the future performance of any investment product. The opinions are current through 04/20/2023, are subject to change at any time based on market and other current conditions, and no forecasts can be guaranteed. This commentary is being provided as a general source of information and is not intended as a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold any specific security or to engage in any investment strategy. Investment decisions should always be made based on an investor's specific objectives, financial needs, risk tolerance and time horizon.

Data quoted is past performance and current performance may be lower or higher. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate, and shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Please visit weitzinvestments.com for the most recent month-end performance.

Disclosures

I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to buy any new positions in the stocks mentioned within the next 72 hours. Click for the complete disclosure