Warren Buffett's 2008 Letter: The Financial Crisis

Investment lessons from Berkshire Hathaway's letters to shareholders

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Sep 18, 2023
Summary
  • Commenting on the 2008 global financial crisis, Buffett said Berkshire's long-term strategy was still intact.
  • Buffett explained why Berkshire is a "buyer of choice" more than private equity for whole companies.
  • Buffett explained why derivatives can be very dangerous and why the Black Scholes formula can sometimes throw up ridiculous results
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I have found a good way to learn about investing is to read Berkshire Hathaway Inc.'s (BRK.A, Financial) (BRK.B, Financial) annual letters to shareholders. This series focuses on the main points Warren Buffett (Trades, Portfolio) makes in these letters and my analysis of the lessons learned from them. In this discussion, I cover the 2008 letter.

2008 financial crisis and Berkshire's strategy

2008 was, of course, one of the most turbulent years in recent decades with the global financial crisis wreaking havoc across financial markets. Financial institutions failed, the housing market collapsed, the stock market crashed and governments were called to make big calls on bailouts. Buffett reminded investors in the 2008 letter, written in February 2009, that America has had no shortage of crises in its history and that the current crisis shall also pass. Buffett, as ever, reiterated his focus on the long-term and that Berkshire would stick to its tried and tested strategy. He wrote:

"We’re certain, for example, that the economy will be in shambles throughout 2009 – and, for that matter, probably well beyond – but that conclusion does not tell us whether the stock market will rise or fall.

In good years and bad, Charlie and I simply focus on four goals:

(1) maintaining Berkshire’s Gibraltar-like financial position, which features huge amounts of excess liquidity, near-term obligations that are modest, and dozens of sources of earnings and cash;

(2) widening the “moats” around our operating businesses that give them durable competitive advantages;

(3) acquiring and developing new and varied streams of earnings;

(4) expanding and nurturing the cadre of outstanding operating managers who, over the years, have delivered Berkshire exceptional results."

Berkshire as the buyer of choice

Buffett said that for Berkshire to meet its goal of becoming buyer of choice is to deserve it. By keeping its promises, avoiding too much leverage and granting unusual autonomy to its managers, and to own companies for the long term, Buffett believes Berkshire’s record matches its rhetoric.

On the other hand, most other acquirers treat companies as “merchandise” who must fit into some “exit strategy.” This gives Berkshire an advantage when encountering family sellers who truly care about the future of their business.

Buffett noted these other buyers used to be known as “leveraged-buyout operators.” Once the LBO industry came through the 1980s with a battered reputation, the operators started to call themselves private equity. However, the strategies were the same, where the essential ingredients were included cherished fee structures and a love of leverage.

As the Oracle of Omaha wrote:

"Their new label became 'private equity,' a name that turns the facts upside-down: A purchase of a business by these firms almost invariably results in dramatic reductions in the equity portion of the acquiree’s capital structure compared to that previously existing. A number of these acquirees, purchased only two to three years ago, are now in mortal danger because of the debt piled on them by their private-equity buyers. Much of the bank debt is selling below 70 cents on the dollar, and the public debt has taken a far greater beating. The private-equity firms, it should be noted, are not rushing in to inject the equity their wards now desperately need. Instead, they’re keeping their remaining funds very private."

In summary

As per usual, the Oracle of Omaha was able to navigate the uncertainty with a level head. By following his lead, other investors can also find the opportunities presented by the market during trying times.

Disclosures

I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to buy any new positions in the stocks mentioned within the next 72 hours. Click for the complete disclosure