Get Ready for a Gold Rush

Newmont expects record-breaking production

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Sep 18, 2023
Summary
  • Analyst estimates for the stock adjusted by 2.57% in the past month.
  • Newmont's acquisition of Newcrest receives positive feedback from stakeholders.
  • Various mines worldwide will contribute to increased gold production for Newmont.
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Analyst estimates for Newmont Corp. (NEM, Financial) have recently undergone some revisions. On average, analysts have adjusted their estimates for the stock by 2.57% over the past month. This indicates there have been changes in the expectations for the company's performance.

In addition, the stock price has experienced a only a slight increase, with a change of 0.14% over the same period. This suggests investors have shown some positive sentiment toward the company, but either have different opinions than the analysts or simply have not reacted to the information yet.

These changes in analyst estimates and stock price could be influenced by various factors. For instance, the company's performance, industry trends or overall market conditions may have played a role in shaping analysts' expectations and investors' reactions. Let's look at a couple possibilities.

Newmont's acquisition of Newcrest: A strategic move for growth

In a recent earnings call, Newmont CEO Tom Palmer provided an update on the company's progress towards acquiring Newcrest (ASX:NCM, Financial), a leading gold mining company. The acquisition, which was announced two months ago, has been met with positive feedback from stakeholders, including employees, shareholders, local communities and government leaders.

Palmer highlighted the importance of engaging with these stakeholders to address any concerns and ensure a clear understanding of the benefits of the transaction and Newmont's strategic rationale. He mentioned the company has already received clearance from the Canadian government and is now focused on obtaining regulatory approvals in Australia and Papua New Guinea.

During his visit to Papua New Guinea, Palmer met with various government officials, including Prime Minister James Marape, Deputy Prime Minister John Russo and Mining Minister Sir Ano Pala. These engagements demonstrate Newmont's commitment to building strong relationships with key stakeholders in the region.

The acquisition of Newcrest will provide Newmont with access to valuable assets, including the Lihir mine and the Waihi gold boom project. These assets are expected to contribute to Newmont's growth and enhance its position as a global leader in the gold mining industry.

Palmer mentioned the company is working toward launching a scheme booklet and filing a proxy statement this quarter, with shareholder votes expected in October. The transaction is anticipated to close in November, after which Newmont will begin the process of integrating the Newcrest teams and operations into its portfolio.

Looking ahead, Palmer stated that Newmont aims to provide 2024 guidance for the combined company in February of next year. This guidance will include the five Newcrest assets that will be folded into Newmont's operations. The company will apply its expertise and strategic lens to optimize mine plans and key input assumptions for these assets.

The acquisition of Newcrest is a significant step for Newmont in expanding its global portfolio and driving long-term value for its shareholders. With a strong balance sheet and a focus on safety and sustainability, Newmont is well-positioned to capitalize on the opportunities presented by this transaction.

As the integration process unfolds, Newmont will continue to prioritize the well-being of its workforce, host communities and other stakeholders. The company's commitment to responsible gold leadership and its recent appointment of a chief safety and sustainability officer further underscore its dedication to creating a safe and sustainable mining business.

Gold production and automation

Higher gold production is expected in the second half of 2023 for Newmont, according to recent statements made by company executives. Palmer highlighted several key factors that will contribute to the anticipated increase in gold production.

One of the significant contributors to the expected rise in gold production is the Boddington mine in Australia. In the second quarter, Boddington delivered a strong performance, increasing both gold and copper production. Newmont has invested in expanding its autonomous haulage fleet at Boddington, which will support stable gold and copper production for many years to come.

Another mine that is expected to contribute to higher gold production is Tanami, located in Australia's Northern Territory. Tanami experienced record wet weather and extensive flooding in the first quarter, but it has since recovered well. The mine doubled its quarterly gold production in the second quarter and is on track to achieve its full-year production guidance. In the fourth quarter, Tanami will mine its highest grades, further boosting gold production.

Newmont's operations in Africa are also expected to contribute to the increase in gold production. At the Ahafo South mine in Ghana, higher production is anticipated as the mine accesses the third mining level and additional draw points in the Subika Underground. The Ahafo mill will process higher-grade ore from both underground and surface sources in the second half of the year. The Ahafo North project is also progressing well, with the project team preparing to commence pre-stripping in the second half of the year.

In North America, Newmont's mines in Canada and the United States are expected to contribute to higher gold production. Despite being impacted by wildfires in Quebec during the second quarter, the Éléonore mine is safely ramping up production activities. The Porcupine mine in Canada delivered a steady performance in the second quarter and is well-positioned to deliver improved production in the second half of the year, driven by higher grades from the Hollinger pit and Borden Underground.

The Musselwhite mine in Canada is also expected to increase gold production in the third and fourth quarters. Planned development activities will increase scope availability, allowing for higher volumes of ore to be mined. Additionally, access to a double lift stope will improve both grade and volume.

In South America, the Yanacocha mine delivered a strong second quarter, benefiting from the application of injection leaching technology. The Merian mine is on track to deliver higher-grade ore from the Maraba pit in the third quarter, aligning with its full-year production guidance. The Cerro Negro mine is expected to ramp up production in the third quarter, with increased tons mined and higher grades from the San Marcos deposit.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Newmont's acquisition of Newcrest represents a strategic move toward growth and value creation. With regulatory approvals underway and a clear roadmap for integration, Newmont is poised to unlock the full potential of the combined company and deliver strong performance in the years to come.

Overall, Newmont is well-positioned to achieve higher gold production in the second half of 2023. The company's strategic investments, operational improvements and favorable mining conditions at various mines around the world are expected to drive increased gold production and contribute to the company's financial performance. Investors and stakeholders can look forward to a strong performance from Newmont in the coming months.

Newmont's dedication to sustainable mining practices demonstrates that responsible resource extraction can generate long-term value for all stakeholders. By prioritizing environmental stewardship, community engagement and operational efficiency, Newmont sets a benchmark for the mining industry. As the world continues to prioritize sustainability, companies like Newmont are leading the way toward a more sustainable and prosperous future for the mining sector.

Disclosures

I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and may buy the stocks mentioned or may initiate a short position in any of the stocks mentioned over the next 72 hours. Click for the complete disclosure