Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) Raises Fiscal 2024 Guidance Amid Strong Beer Business Performance

Robust Third Quarter Earnings Lead to Increased Operating and Free Cash Flow Projections

Summary
  • Net Sales Growth: Reported a modest 1% increase to $2,471 million.
  • Operating Income Surge: Operating income rose by 7% to $797 million.
  • Net Income Growth: Net income attributable to Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) climbed by 9%, reaching $509 million.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): Diluted net income per share grew by 10% to $2.76.
  • Free Cash Flow Adjustment: Despite a 10% decrease in free cash flow due to brewery investments, the company raises its fiscal 2024 free cash flow projection to $1.4 - $1.5 billion.
  • Dividend Declaration: A quarterly cash dividend of $0.89 per share of Class A Common Stock was declared.
  • Share Repurchases: Returned $215 million to shareholders in Q3 fiscal 2024 through share repurchases.
Article's Main Image

On January 5, 2024, Constellation Brands Inc (STZ, Financial) released its 8-K filing, showcasing a robust financial performance for the third quarter of fiscal year 2024. The company, known for its leading beer brands such as Modelo and Corona, and its stake in Canopy Growth, reported a slight increase in net sales but a more significant rise in operating income and net income attributable to the company. This performance underscores the company's strong position in the alcoholic beverages industry, particularly in the beer segment, which continues to drive growth.

Beer Business Fuels Growth

Constellation Brands Inc (STZ, Financial)'s beer business remains the cornerstone of its success, with Modelo Especial delivering double-digit volume growth and solidifying its position as the #1 beer in U.S. tracked channel dollar sales. The beer segment's net sales increased by 4%, driven by an 8.2% growth in depletion volume, indicating robust demand for the company's high-end portfolio. The beer business's operating margin also improved by 100 basis points to 38.5%, benefiting from net sales growth, pricing, marketing spend efficiencies, and cost savings, which helped offset inflationary pressures and higher raw materials costs.

Wine and Spirits Business Faces Headwinds

While the beer segment flourished, the wine and spirits business encountered challenges, leading to a revised fiscal 2024 outlook with an expected organic net sales decline of 7 - 9% and an operating income decline of 6 - 8%. Despite these headwinds, the company's largest wine brand, The Prisoner, achieved 6% depletion growth, and the craft spirits portfolio, including Mi CAMPO tequila, saw over 80% depletion growth.

Financial Achievements and Outlook

Constellation Brands Inc (STZ, Financial) has updated its fiscal 2024 reported EPS outlook to $9.15 - $9.35 and reaffirmed its comparable EPS outlook, excluding Canopy EIE, of $12.00 - $12.20. The company has also raised its operating cash flow target to $2.6 - $2.8 billion, reflecting confidence in its financial strength and cash-generating capabilities.

Management's Commentary

"Our Beer Business achieved excellent Q3 results driven by our industry-leading brands. Modelo Especial delivered double-digit volume growth and continued to extend its position as the #1 beer in U.S. tracked channel dollar sales. Our other core beer brands, Corona Extra and Pacifico, also delivered solid growth and were top 10 share gainers across the U.S. beer category. This outstanding performance has reinforced our conviction in our Fiscal 2024 enterprise outlook, despite an adjustment to our Wine and Spirits Business guidance due to near-term headwinds in the wine market."
"The continued strong performance of our Beer portfolio in Q3 has given us the confidence to raise our full-year operating income outlook for that Business. In addition, we now expect higher enterprise operating cash flow and free cash flow in Fiscal 2024. We remain committed to our disciplined and balanced approach to deploying that cash with a consistent focus on supporting our investment grade balance sheet, steady cash returns to shareholders through our dividend, opportunistic share repurchases, brewing capacity investments in our Beer Business, and tuck-in M&A to fill portfolio gaps."

These statements from President and Chief Executive Officer Bill Newlands and Chief Financial Officer Garth Hankinson highlight the company's strategic focus and optimism for the future, despite the challenges faced by the wine and spirits segment.

Analysis of Performance

Constellation Brands Inc (STZ, Financial)'s performance in the third quarter of fiscal 2024 reflects the company's resilience and strategic focus on its core beer business. The company's ability to navigate market challenges, particularly in the wine and spirits segment, while still delivering strong financial results, is indicative of its robust business model and market-leading position. With an increased operating and free cash flow guidance, Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) is well-positioned to continue its growth trajectory and deliver value to shareholders.

For a detailed view of Constellation Brands Inc (STZ, Financial)'s financial performance and further insights, investors are encouraged to review the full 8-K filing.

Explore the complete 8-K earnings release (here) from Constellation Brands Inc for further details.