Market Today: U.S. Stocks Retreat Amid Economic Data and Commodity Rally; Dave & Buster's Misses Q4

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Market Overview

The stock market experienced a downturn with the S&P 500 (-0.7%), Dow Jones Industrial Average (-1.0%), Russell 2000 (-1.8%), and Nasdaq Composite (-1.0%) all recording losses. Despite a slight afternoon recovery, there was no clear catalyst for the improvement. The decline was largely attributed to a consolidation phase after a strong start to the year, influenced by rising market rates due to solid economic data and persistent inflation concerns. The yield on the 10-year note increased by four basis points to 4.37%.

Health Insurers and Retailers Under Pressure

Health insurers faced significant losses, particularly Humana (HUM, Financial), CVS Health (CVS, Financial), and UnitedHealth (UNH, Financial), following the CMS's decision to maintain the Medicare Advantage plans payment rate increase at 3.70%, contrary to expectations for a higher rate. In the retail sector, PVH Corp (PVH, Financial) reported disappointing quarterly results, causing concern over consumer spending and leading to a downturn in retail stocks, including a 2.8% drop in the SPDR S&P Retailer ETF (XRT).

Sector Performance

The health care (-1.6%) and consumer discretionary (-1.3%) sectors were the poorest performers of the day, while the energy sector saw a 1.3% increase, buoyed by a 1.7% rise in WTI crude oil futures to $85.18/bbl, amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Year-to-Date Market Performance

  • S&P 500: +9.1%
  • Nasdaq Composite: +8.2%
  • S&P Midcap 400: +7.4%
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: +3.9%
  • Russell 2000: +1.9%

Economic Data Insights

February's Factory Orders increased by 1.4%, exceeding the 1.0% consensus, with a notable pickup in new orders for both durable and nondurable goods. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLT) for February reported 8.756 million job openings, indicating robust demand for labor.

Looking Ahead

Upcoming economic data includes the Weekly MBA Mortgage Index, March ADP Employment Change, and Weekly crude oil inventories. International markets saw mixed results, with declines in Europe's DAX, FTSE, and CAC, and gains in Asia's Nikkei and Hang Seng.

Commodity prices showed an increase in crude oil, natural gas, gold, silver, and copper, reflecting global market dynamics.

Today's News

U.S. stocks closed lower on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI, Financial) leading the decline among major indices, as investors reacted to fresh economic data and a surge in commodity prices. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (COMP:IND) and the S&P 500 (SP500, Financial) also retreated, with several sectors ending the day in the red. This downturn follows a mixed trading session on Monday as market participants weighed the implications of recent economic reports against the backdrop of a long Easter weekend.

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY, Financial) reported its fourth-quarter earnings, missing analysts' expectations on both earnings per share and revenue fronts. Despite a year-over-year increase in revenue, the company saw a decrease in comparable store sales and a slight dip in net income compared to the same period last year. The entertainment and dining venue operator pointed to the 14th week of the quarter as a significant revenue contributor, highlighting the impact of its new management and strategic initiatives on its financial performance.

Oppenheimer's latest Technical Analysis report highlighted top buy-sell sector pairs across the S&P 500, suggesting a bullish outlook for the stock market. The report identified standout stocks in various sectors, recommending Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG, Financial) and Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD, Financial) among others for investment, while advising the sale of stocks like Chevron Corp. (CVX, Financial). This optimistic market sentiment is supported by the highest level of bullishness since 2018, as indicated by Oppenheimer’s OPCO Bullish composite.

Apple Inc. (AAPL, Financial) is poised to become an "AI winner," according to Evercore ISI analysts, following the publication of a research paper detailing the tech giant's advancements in on-device AI inference. This development could potentially trigger an iPhone "supercycle," driven by Apple's innovative approach to simplifying complex AI tasks for enhanced device functionality.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR, Financial) disclosed a significant stake in MSP Recovery (LIFW, Financial), signaling confidence in the healthcare recoveries and data analytics company. The investment comes as Palantir's stock experienced a slight dip, underscoring the strategic nature of its portfolio diversification efforts.

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. (CALM, Financial) saw its shares fall in after-hours trading despite surpassing earnings expectations for the fiscal third quarter. The company highlighted the challenges of fluctuating market prices and supply impacts on its sales volume and average selling prices, reflecting the broader industry dynamics affecting the egg producer.

RTX Corporation (RTX, Financial) continued its upward trajectory, marking its seventh consecutive session of gains. The aerospace and defense company has outperformed the broader market indices, benefiting from strong buy ratings and a favorable outlook from analysts and investors alike.

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST, Financial) has introduced a new weight loss program in partnership with Sesame, offering its members access to specialized healthcare services. This move reflects Costco's ongoing efforts to expand its value proposition and respond to consumer health and wellness trends.

GE Aerospace (GE, Financial) experienced a significant stock price drop following the spinoff of its GE Vernova (GEV) division. The separation marks a pivotal moment in the company's restructuring plan, aimed at focusing on its core aviation business while granting independence to its power and renewable-energy segments.

PennantPark Floating Rate Capital Ltd. (PFLT, Financial) maintained its monthly dividend, reinforcing its commitment to providing shareholders with consistent returns. The announcement reflects the company's stable financial performance and strategic focus on generating high monthly income.

Despite a general downturn in the market, the Magnificent 7, including tech giants like Microsoft (MSFT, Financial), Nvidia (NVDA, Financial), and Amazon (AMZN, Financial), showed resilience. This group of leading tech companies continues to dominate the market, with only Tesla (TSLA, Financial) experiencing a more significant decline among them.

Tencent Holdings (TCEHY, Financial) shares edged higher, extending a streak of gains despite the broader market challenges. The company's strong performance contrasts with its recent history of losses, highlighting its potential for recovery and growth.

Electric vehicle stocks, led by Tesla (TSLA, Financial), faced downward pressure following a disappointing quarterly report on production and deliveries. The sector's performance reflects ongoing challenges and investor concerns over growth prospects in the competitive EV market.

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA, Financial) announced its largest quarterly share repurchase, signaling confidence in its financial health and future growth potential. The e-commerce giant's aggressive buyback strategy underscores its commitment to enhancing shareholder value amidst market volatility and competitive pressures.

PVH Corp. (PVH, Financial) filed a prospectus for a mixed shelf offering, indicating plans for potential fundraising activities to support its growth and operational needs. The fashion conglomerate's move reflects its strategic efforts to strengthen its financial position and capitalize on market opportunities.

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (ADPT, Financial) concluded its strategic review process, opting to operate its MRD and Immune Medicine businesses independently. The decision aims to maximize shareholder value by focusing on dedicated resources and segment reporting for each business unit.

Managed care companies experienced declines following the CMS's lower-than-expected reimbursement rate announcement for Medicare Advantage plans. The decision impacts the financial outlook for these companies, reflecting the challenges of navigating regulatory changes and reimbursement dynamics in the healthcare sector.

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. (CALM, Financial) reported record quarterly sales volume, despite facing industry headwinds. The company's performance highlights its resilience and strategic focus on meeting market demand amid fluctuating prices and supply constraints.

Canada's oil sands producers, including Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ, Financial) and Suncor Energy (SU, Financial), could see significant upside potential. Analysts point to improving environmental metrics and increased free cash flow returns to shareholders as key drivers of future growth and valuation gains.

Hanesbrands Inc. (HBI, Financial) shares tumbled following reports of Authentic Brands Group's acquisition of its Champion brand. The sale, valued at over $1 billion, marks a significant shift for Hanesbrands as it seeks to streamline its operations and focus on core business areas.

Electronic prescribing company Surescripts, co-owned by CVS Health (CVS, Financial) and Cigna's Express Scripts (CI, Financial), is reportedly exploring a sale. The potential transaction reflects the evolving landscape of healthcare technology and the strategic considerations of major industry players.

Avidity Biosciences, Inc. (RNA, Financial) filed a prospectus for the resale of common shares by selling stockholders, indicating potential liquidity events and investment opportunities within the biotechnology sector.

Technology sector performance varied, with notable gains and losses among leading companies and emerging players. The sector's dynamics underscore the importance of innovation, market positioning, and strategic investments in driving growth and shareholder value.

Stock futures indicated a cautious start to the second quarter, with significant movements among key stocks shaping the market landscape. Notable gainers and losers reflect the diverse factors influencing investor sentiment and market trends.

Apple Inc. (AAPL, Financial) faced scrutiny over its request to Jon Stewart regarding an interview with FTC Chairwoman Lina Khan, highlighting the tech giant's sensitivity to regulatory discussions and potential implications for its business operations.

Boeing (BA) reported its monthly plane deliveries, facing challenges with the 737 Max production amid safety investigations. The aerospace company's performance reflects the ongoing efforts to address manufacturing issues and stabilize production rates.

GE Vernova (GEV) commenced trading as an independent entity, marking a significant milestone in GE's restructuring plan. The focus on accelerating the energy transition underscores the company's commitment to sustainability and innovation in the power and renewable-energy sectors.

CRISPR gene editing technology continues to captivate investors and the scientific community, with Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) and CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) leading the charge in developing groundbreaking therapies. The potential of CRISPR to transform drug development and cure genetic diseases remains a focal point of industry discussions and investment considerations.

Nvidia (NVDA, Financial) is poised to benefit from increasing demand for AI servers in Asia, reflecting the company's strong market position and the broader trend of AI-driven growth in the technology sector. The outlook for Nvidia and other leading tech companies underscores the importance of innovation and market adaptation in capturing growth opportunities.

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) shares plummeted following a disappointing financial report and delays in satellite launches. The company's challenges highlight the complexities of the space technology sector and the importance of operational execution in achieving strategic goals.

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Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.