Market Today: Intel and Disney Weigh on Dow as Alphabet and Paramount Make Moves

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Market Overview

Today's trading session started off on a softer note but shifted to a mostly positive price action around 10:00 ET. This change was sparked by the release of a softer than expected ISM Services PMI for March. Despite this, major indices didn't maintain their peak levels as some leading stocks pulled back before the market closed.

Key Stock Movements

  • Microsoft (MSFT, Financial) saw a decrease of $0.99 to close at $420.45, a -0.2% change, after initially being up by as much as 0.4%.
  • NVIDIA (NVDA) ended the day down $4.88 at $889.64, marking a -0.6% change, despite being up by as much as 1.0% earlier.
  • Intel (INTC, Financial) dropped $3.61 to $40.33, a significant -8.2% decline, after announcing a new financial reporting structure expected to peak operating losses in 2024.

Market Sentiment and Sector Performance

The market's positive bias was reinforced by a buy-the-dip mentality following a weak start to the week. This was a reaction to a spike in market rates as investors adjusted their rate cut expectations in light of continuous strong economic data and persistent inflation. Additionally, the Treasury market responded well to the morning's softer data, contributing to the optimistic market sentiment. Notably, the semiconductor sector showed some relative strength, evidenced by a 0.3% increase in the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX), despite Intel's notable decline.

Economic Data Insights

  • The 10-year note yield was slightly down at 4.36%, a decrease from the pre-data high of 4.42%.
  • The 2-year note yield also saw a decrease, settling at 4.68% from an earlier high of 4.73%.
  • Today's economic reports highlighted a slowdown in the expansion of the U.S. services sector in March, with both the pace of price increases and new orders decelerating.

Commodities and Global Markets

WTI crude oil futures saw an increase, closing at $85.44 per barrel, a +0.3% change. This rise is attributed to heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. In global markets, European indices ended the day mixed, while Asian markets mostly closed lower. Commodity prices, including gold, silver, and copper, experienced gains.

Today's News

U.S. stocks concluded the trading day with mixed results as notable declines in Intel (INTC, Financial) and Walt Disney (DIS, Financial) counteracted the positive market sentiment initiated by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's comments. The tech sector, however, saw some uplift with the Nasdaq Composite inching higher, thanks in part to Alphabet's after-hours gains following news of potential premium search features. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced slight pressure, primarily due to significant drops in Intel, following its announcement of a wider annual loss in its foundry business, and Disney, which faced challenges in a pivotal shareholder vote amidst activist investor involvement.

Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) shares experienced a slight increase after the market closed on reports that the company is considering implementing a paywall for some advanced search features. This move signifies Alphabet's strategy to integrate artificial intelligence into its business model without undermining its traditional search revenue, which remains a significant portion of its earnings. The introduction of premium features could mark a pivotal shift in how users interact with Google's search services.

In a significant development within the media sector, Paramount Global (PARA, PARAA) saw its shares fluctuate following news of a tentative deal for its controlling shareholder, Shari Redstone, to sell her stake to David Ellison's Skydance Media. This potential merger could significantly alter the landscape of the entertainment industry, highlighting the ongoing consolidation trend and the strategic maneuvers of companies to strengthen their market positions amidst increasing competition.

A report by Goldman Sachs outlined the potential beneficiaries of a Republican policy win, highlighting several industries and sectors that could see favorable outcomes. Among the listed companies, those in financials and steel stand to gain from eased regulations and supportive policies, painting a picture of the investment landscape under a political shift. This analysis offers investors insights into aligning their portfolios with potential future policy directions.

Apple (AAPL, Financial) is venturing into the home robotics market, signaling its exploration of new technological frontiers beyond its current product lineup. This move reflects Apple's continuous search for the "next big thing" and its willingness to invest in innovative projects that could redefine consumer technology. However, the company remains cautious, with the possibility that these products may not reach the commercialization stage.

The Canadian cannabis industry witnessed a rally led by Aurora Cannabis (ACB, Financial) and other licensed producers following the appointment of a new president for the Cannabis Council of Canada. This development underscores the ongoing efforts within the cannabis sector to navigate regulatory challenges and market dynamics, aiming for sustained growth and broader acceptance of cannabis products.

PepsiCo (PEP, Financial) products have made a return to Carrefour (CRERF, Financial) shelves in France, ending a pricing dispute that highlighted the tensions between manufacturers and retailers over cost pressures. This resolution reflects the broader challenges in the consumer goods sector, where companies are grappling with inflationary pressures and the need to maintain market access amidst price negotiations.

Fortinet (FTNT, Financial) shares saw an uptick following positive feedback from its annual conference, underscoring the company's potential in the cybersecurity market. Analysts highlighted Fortinet's advancements in Secure Access Service Edge technology, indicating a growing interest in comprehensive security solutions that can address the evolving threats in the digital landscape.

Amazon (AMZN, Financial), Microsoft (MSFT, Financial), and other tech giants are poised to benefit from changes to the European Union's cybersecurity certification, easing previous requirements that could have limited their market access. This development highlights the ongoing negotiations between tech companies and regulatory bodies, aiming to balance security concerns with the opportunities presented by cloud computing and data services.

Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI, Financial) reported earnings that surpassed consensus expectations, despite a decline in net revenue. The company's performance reflects the challenges in the retail sector, including shifts in consumer behavior and supply chain issues. However, Levi's ability to exceed expectations amidst these challenges underscores its resilience and strategic adjustments to navigate market volatility.

Newmont (NEM, Financial) shares continued their upward trajectory, marking a consistent gain over several trading sessions. The gold mining company's performance is indicative of the broader trends in the commodities market, where investors often turn to gold as a safe haven amid economic uncertainties.

Citi Research analysts have adjusted their views on the communication services and consumer discretionary sectors, reflecting changing market dynamics and investment opportunities. These updates provide investors with guidance on sectoral trends and potential areas for portfolio adjustment in response to evolving market conditions.

Carpenter Technology Corp. (CRS, Financial), Natera Inc. (NTRA, Financial), and cryptocurrency Ethereum were highlighted as long ideas during a panel at the Sohn charity conference, showcasing the diverse range of investment opportunities and the ongoing interest in innovative technologies and healthcare advancements.

Standard BioTools (LAB, Financial) announced a significant engagement with Bristol Myers Squibb for the use of its SomaScan Platform, highlighting the growing importance of advanced technologies in clinical trials and drug development processes.

Ulta Beauty (ULTA, Financial) shares experienced a sharp decline following cautious commentary from management, reflecting the challenges facing the retail sector, particularly in the beauty industry, as consumer spending patterns shift amidst economic pressures.

Eli Lilly’s (LLY, Financial) weight-loss drug Zepbound continues to face supply constraints due to high demand, underscoring the significant market interest in effective obesity treatments and the challenges pharmaceutical companies face in meeting this demand.

Walt Disney's (DIS, Financial) board of directors successfully fended off challenges from activist investors, securing the re-election of its proposed slate of directors. This outcome highlights the ongoing governance debates within major corporations and the influence of shareholder activism on corporate strategies.

Smith Micro Software (SMSI) approved a reverse stock split, aiming to increase its share price and maintain compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements. This move reflects the company's efforts to stabilize its stock performance and appeal to a broader investor base.

Atai Life Sciences (ATAI) shares surged following an upgrade by Maxim Group, highlighting the potential of the company's strategic investments in the psychedelics space. This development points to the growing interest in alternative therapeutics and the investment opportunities within the burgeoning psychedelics industry.

Goldman Sachs reported significant net selling in its Prime Book, with a notable focus on technology, media, and telecommunication stocks. This activity reflects the shifting investment strategies and market sentiment, particularly in sectors that have experienced rapid growth and valuation adjustments.

Arbutus Biopharma (ABUS) saw a significant stock price increase following a favorable claim construction order in a patent dispute with Moderna (MRNA), highlighting the critical role of intellectual property in the biotech industry and the potential financial implications of patent litigation outcomes.

Intel (INTC, Financial) provided an update on its foundry business, indicating a longer path to profitability than previously anticipated. This disclosure reflects the challenges facing the semiconductor industry and the strategic adjustments companies are making in response to competitive pressures and market demands.

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Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.