Why Intel Stock Is Dropping Today

Article's Main Image

Intel (INTC, Financial) stock is slipping today, with the chip company's share price down 1.72%. The decline in Intel's stock is happening alongside a similar dip in Nvidia's stock, which is causing investor jitters as Nvidia is set to report its second-quarter results. These results are expected to reflect broader AI market demand and could significantly impact Intel's valuation.

Intel's current stock price is $19.73, reflecting a 60.3% decline year-to-date. The company has a market capitalization of $84.34 billion and a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 85.76, indicating a high earnings multiple. Additionally, the price-to-book ratio (P/B) is 0.73, close to its 10-year low, suggesting potential undervaluation. However, the company's Altman Z-Score of 1.44 places it in the distress zone, signaling potential financial instability within the next two years.

Despite some concerning financial metrics, Intel exhibits strengths. For instance, the Beneish M-Score of -2.69 implies the company is unlikely to be manipulating its financial statements. Moreover, insider buying has been observed, with 12,500 shares bought over the past three months, which could signal confidence from those with significant insight into the company's operations.

Intel's revenue per share has been on a declining trend for the last five years, and its gross margin has also seen a long-term decline, averaging an annual decrease of 8.6%. The operating margin has dropped considerably, with a 66.2% annual decline over the last five years. Moreover, Intel has been issuing new long-term debt, amounting to $18.9 billion over the past three years, exacerbating its financial risk.

Despite these challenges, Intel's GF Value is estimated at $29.96, categorizing it as a "Possible Value Trap". The company's GF Score is 79 out of 100, indicating a relatively balanced score in growth, profitability, and financial health. Analysts' target price for Intel stands at $26.47, suggesting potential upside if the company can stabilize and improve its financial and operational metrics.

In conclusion, Intel faces both opportunities and risks. While valuation metrics like P/B and insider buying are favorable, significant financial and operational challenges persist. Investors should consider these factors when evaluating Intel's stock (INTC, Financial) for potential investment.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.