Why Li Auto Stock Fell Today

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Intense competition continues in the electric vehicle (EV) market. Li Auto (LI, Financial) has differentiated itself by selling extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs) that utilize a small onboard gasoline engine to boost vehicle range. The company also launched its first pure electric model earlier this year.

Investors had hoped that the fully electric Li Mega would help boost sales in the second quarter. However, Li's second-quarter earnings report showed vehicle revenue increased by only 8.4% year over year. This contributed to the stock's decline, with Li Auto shares falling 16.14%. Li Auto did report better-than-expected second-quarter results, earning about $0.10 per share, slightly ahead of analyst expectations. Sales of approximately $4.4 billion met estimates. However, vehicle margins declined on both a year-over-year and sequential basis due to lower vehicle prices. Intense market competition remains a significant challenge for the company.

The launch of the Mega, a seven-seat multipurpose vehicle, has not met investor expectations due to the intense competition and a slower-growing market. Despite management's expectations for increased vehicle deliveries and revenue in the third quarter, investors are currently cautious about Li Auto stock.

Li Auto's (LI, Financial) stock analysis brings some essential insights. The company shows a GF Value of $78.48, suggesting potential undervaluation. However, the "Possible Value Trap, Think Twice" indicator advises caution. The stock's current price is $17.795, reflecting a substantial decrease from its 52-week high of $46.44. Its market capitalization stands at $18,880.67 million.

On the financial health front, Li Auto has an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, which falls in the grey area suggesting financial stress. Additionally, the Beneish M-Score of -0.61 indicates potential manipulation of financial data. The company also shows strong interest coverage, with a ratio of 77.8, making it comfortable in covering its debts.

In terms of valuation, Li Auto's forward P/E ratio of 11.91 is higher than its trailing P/E ratio, indicating an anticipation of declining earnings. The company's vehicle margins have been under pressure due to competitive pricing, which is reflective in its current net margin of 8.71% and an operating margin of 4.91%.

The company’s growth metrics are notable with a 116.6% revenue growth year-over-year, showcasing significant expansion. However, the company's cash flow growth and book growth over the past year reveal mixed results, with cash flow growth at -240.9% and book growth at 25.2%.

Despite these challenges, Li Auto maintains a strong financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25, which is acceptable. The firm’s tangible book value stands at $8.46, while its equity to asset ratio is 0.41, indicating a stable financial structure.

In conclusion, while Li Auto (LI, Financial) has shown promising growth, the intense competition and financial health indicators suggest a cautious approach. Investors should weigh the risks and potential before making a decision on this stock.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.