Why LCID Stock Is Moving Today

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Lucid Group (LCID, Financial) experienced a significant stock movement today, with shares trading at $3.455, showing a decrease of 3.22%. This volatility reflects ongoing market sentiment as the company navigates new production milestones and financial concerns.

Lucid Group is set to start production of its highly anticipated Gravity SUV. Investors reacted positively to the news in August, with shares rising 14.2%. Nevertheless, the stock has since dropped 10.9% this month, reflecting investor caution as the company remains unprofitable.

In the second quarter, Lucid (LCID, Financial) saw a 70.5% year-over-year increase in deliveries, reaching 2,394 units. Production also rose 22% sequentially to 2,110 units. Revenue climbed 33% year-over-year to $201 million, surpassing analysts' expectations. The company maintained its full-year production guidance of 9,000 units.

In August, Lucid raised $1.5 billion from Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF), its largest shareholder with a 59.8% stake as of December 31, 2023. Lucid ended the second quarter with nearly $4.3 billion in total liquidity, with the latest funding expected to sustain operations through at least Q4 2025.

CEO Peter Rawlinson stated that the upcoming Gravity SUV could more than double Lucid's sales and has an addressable market six times larger than that of the Lucid Air. Lucid plans to begin production of the Gravity SUV this year and aims to launch a new midsize SUV by late 2026.

Despite these positive developments, Lucid remains unprofitable, with a net loss widening by 3% to $790 million in Q2. Investors are cautious about rising losses as Lucid invests more in the Gravity SUV.

From a valuation perspective, Lucid Group (LCID, Financial) is currently considered a "Possible Value Trap, Think Twice" according to its GF Value. The stock's GF Value estimate stands at $8.91, significantly higher than its current price of $3.455. For more detailed valuation metrics, visit the GF Value page.

The stock exhibits multiple warning signs, including an Altman Z-Score in the distress zone and a Beneish M-Score indicating potential financial manipulation. Furthermore, the company has a history of rising debt, insider selling, and continuous unprofitability—all factors contributing to investor caution.

Despite the near-term challenges, Lucid maintains strong liquidity and substantial backing from its largest shareholder, Saudi Arabia's PIF. The company's aggressive expansion plans and new product launches could potentially position it for significant future growth if managed effectively.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.