UPL Ltd (BOM:512070) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript Highlights: Navigating Challenges and Focusing on Growth

Despite a tough year, UPL Ltd (BOM:512070) outlines a strategic path for recovery and growth in FY25.

Summary
  • Revenue: INR43,000 crores, down 20% year-over-year.
  • EBITDA: INR5,500 crores, down 51% year-over-year.
  • Debt: Increased by $600 million.
  • Working Capital Days: Increased by 22 days.
  • Q4 Revenue: INR14,078 crores, down 15% year-over-year.
  • Q4 EBITDA Margin: In line with last year, adjusted for transitory impacts.
  • Net Finance Cost: Declined by 4% year-over-year.
  • Exceptional Costs: INR106 crores, up from INR29 crores last year.
  • Advanta Enterprises Q4 Revenue: Up 34% year-over-year.
  • Advanta Enterprises Q4 EBITDA: Up 38% year-over-year.
  • Full Year Revenue: INR43,098 crores, down 20% year-over-year.
  • Full Year Net Loss: INR1,200 crores.
  • Net Debt: Increased to $2.66 billion.
  • FY25 Revenue Guidance: 4% to 8% growth.
  • FY25 EBITDA Growth Guidance: 50% growth in absolute EBITDA.
  • Operating Cash Flow Guidance: $300 million to $400 million.
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Release Date: May 13, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • UPL Ltd (BOM:512070, Financial) reported a sequential improvement in Q4 performance, with volumes and margins recovering compared to Q3.
  • The company saw a significant reduction in fixed overheads by 17% year-over-year in Q4, contributing to improved EBITDA margins.
  • Advanta Enterprises, UPL's global seed platform, reported robust growth with a 34% increase in revenue and a 38% increase in EBITDA for Q4.
  • UPL Ltd (BOM:512070) is focusing on growing its differentiated and sustainable product portfolio, which expanded from 29% to 36% of total sales.
  • The company is actively working on deleveraging its balance sheet, with plans to reduce net debt by $300 million to $400 million through improved operational cash flows and a rights issue.

Negative Points

  • UPL Ltd (BOM:512070) experienced a challenging year with a 20% decline in annual revenues and a 51% drop in EBITDA.
  • The company faced significant pricing pressure and destocking issues, particularly in North America and Brazil, leading to a 22% price decline across its portfolio.
  • High-cost inventory and transitory rebates negatively impacted contribution margins, with some effects expected to spill over into the first half of FY25.
  • Net debt increased by $600 million to $2.66 billion, and working capital days rose from 64 to 86 days, indicating higher receivables and inventory levels.
  • The company anticipates potential losses at the PAT level in Q1 FY25 due to ongoing margin compression and high-cost inventory liquidation.

Q & A Highlights

Q: How do we monitor liquidation globally?
A: We use a combination of panel data in some markets and internal market research through our sales reps who monitor inventory levels at distributors and retail dealers.

Q: Are there plans to incorporate QR codes for better monitoring of liquidation?
A: Yes, we have launched a new digital ecosystem where each product is QR-coded, which will help us track secondary-level liquidation more effectively.

Q: Will there still be rebates and high-cost inventory impacts in FY25?
A: Most of the high-cost inventory has been liquidated, with the remaining expected to clear in the first half of FY25. Rebates and returns are expected to normalize throughout the year.

Q: Can we expect losses at the PAT level in the first half of FY25?
A: There might be losses at the PAT level in Q1 due to pricing headwinds and margin compression, but we expect growth to even out by the end of H1 and improve in H2.

Q: How did Europe and the rest of the world perform well in Q4?
A: Europe saw growth due to channel restocking for the spring season, while the rest of the world, particularly Asia and Africa, performed well due to our strong market presence and ability to serve smallholder farmers.

Q: What is the outlook for the overcapacity issue in major molecules like glufosinate and S-metolachlor?
A: We expect some consolidation or shutdown of excess capacity, especially for glufosinate. For S-metolachlor, the capacity is largely in line with market needs.

Q: Are there any further rebates or inventory write-downs expected in FY25?
A: Some high-cost inventory will be liquidated in the first half of FY25, and we are on track to reduce overhead costs by $100 million across the group.

Q: How is the industry reacting to UPL's focus on collections?
A: The industry is also focusing on collections, and we do not expect a reduction in volumes due to our strong brand presence and disciplined approach.

Q: What has been the situation with supplies from China in the last four months?
A: Prices from China have stabilized at a low level, and we are planning accordingly. We do not expect significant changes in the near term.

Q: Was Q4 exceptional for the seeds business, and what is the long-term outlook for R&D spending?
A: Q4 saw lower gross margins due to regional sales mix, but we expect to return to sustainable margins of 55%-plus in FY25. R&D spending will continue to be a priority to drive future growth.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.