ORCL: Oracle Stock Climbs on Analyst Upgrades

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Shares of Oracle (ORCL, Financial) are moving higher today, driven by continued upgrades from Wall Street analysts following its recent fiscal first-quarter earnings report. The stock is currently up 4.76%, trading at $169.75.

Following last week's earnings report, Melius Research upgraded Oracle (ORCL, Financial) from hold to buy. The firm cited Oracle's accelerating revenue growth, stable margins, and its potential to exceed analyst estimates. Melius raised its price target from $155 to $210, suggesting a 22% upside.

Additionally, Jefferies increased its price target on Oracle (ORCL, Financial) from $170 to $190 over the weekend, maintaining its buy rating. Analyst Brent Thill highlighted the company's renewed momentum and noted accelerating growth in Oracle Cloud Infrastructure and backlog.

Oracle's first-quarter results for the period ending Aug. 31 showed a 45% increase in its cloud infrastructure business to $2.2 billion, and overall revenue grew 7% to $13.3 billion. Remaining performance obligations surged 53% to $99 billion, and adjusted earnings per share rose 8% to $1.39.

Given its strong position in database management and cloud infrastructure, Oracle (ORCL, Financial) appears well-positioned to benefit from the AI era, with rapidly expanding data centers and a positive outlook on future growth.

From a valuation perspective, Oracle (ORCL, Financial) currently has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 43.75 and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 43.53. The stock is significantly overvalued according to the GF Value, which is $112.75, indicating it is trading well above its intrinsic value. Oracle's market capitalization stands at $470.37 billion with an enterprise value of $521.24 billion.

Despite its high valuation, Oracle (ORCL, Financial) has demonstrated strong growth metrics. The stock’s revenue has grown by 12.9% over the past five years, and its net income has seen a 9% growth over the same period. However, the company does face some financial stress as indicated by its Altman Z-score of 2.49, which is in the grey area.

With a robust cloud infrastructure business and significant investments in AI, Oracle (ORCL, Financial) is positioned for future success despite the high valuation. Investors should weigh the company's growth prospects against its current overvalued status before making investment decisions.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.