Is Ford Motor Co (F) Set to Underperform? Analyzing the Factors Limiting Growth

Exploring the Challenges and Metrics That May Hinder Ford's Future Performance

Long-established in the Vehicles & Parts industry, Ford Motor Co (F, Financial) has enjoyed a stellar reputation. It has recently witnessed a daily gain of 2.96%, juxtaposed with a three-month change of -4.74%. However, fresh insights from the GF Score hint at potential headwinds. Notably, its diminished rankings in financial strength, growth, and valuation suggest that the company might not live up to its historical performance. Join us as we dive deep into these pivotal metrics to unravel the evolving narrative of Ford Motor Co.

What Is the GF Score?

The GF Score is a stock performance ranking system developed by GuruFocus using five aspects of valuation, which has been found to be closely correlated to the long-term performances of stocks by backtesting from 2006 to 2021. The stocks with a higher GF Score generally generate higher returns than those with a lower GF Score. Therefore, when picking stocks, investors should invest in companies with high GF Scores. The GF Score ranges from 0 to 100, with 100 as the highest rank.

Based on the above method, GuruFocus assigned Ford Motor Co a GF Score of 65 out of 100, which signals poor future outperformance potential.

Understanding Ford Motor Co Business

Ford Motor Co, with a market cap of $44.2 billion and sales of $180.35 billion, operates under the Ford and Lincoln brands. In March 2022, the company announced that it will run its combustion engine business, Ford Blue, and its BEV business, Ford Model e, as separate businesses but still all under Ford Motor. The company has nearly 13% market share in the United States, about 11% share in the U.K., and under 2% share in China including unconsolidated affiliates. Sales in the U.S. made up about 66% of 2023 total company revenue. Ford has about 177,000 employees, including about 59,000 UAW employees, and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.

Financial Strength Breakdown

Ford Motor Co's financial strength indicators present some concerning insights about the company's balance sheet health. The company's interest coverage ratio of 3.14 positions it worse than 71.72% of 1043 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. This ratio highlights potential challenges the company might face when handling its interest expenses on outstanding debt. Additionally, the company's Altman Z-Score is just 1.06, which is below the distress zone of 1.81, suggesting potential financial distress over the next few years. The low cash-to-debt ratio at 0.23 and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.51 further indicate struggles in managing debt levels.

Growth Prospects

A lack of significant growth is another area where Ford Motor Co seems to falter, as evidenced by the company's low Growth rank. Additionally, Ford Motor Co's predictability rank is just one star out of five, adding to investor uncertainty regarding revenue and earnings consistency.

Conclusion

Considering the company's financial strength, profitability, and growth metrics, the GF Score highlights Ford Motor Co's unparalleled position for potential underperformance. Investors looking for more robust investment opportunities can explore companies with stronger GF Scores using the GF Score Screen.

This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.