SHOP: Why Shopify Stock is Moving Today

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Shopify (SHOP, Financial) has long exhibited strong growth, but its high valuation has often led to volatility. Recently, the company's stocks have gained attention due to its latest earnings report and analyst upgrades. On Tuesday morning, Shopify's stock saw a price increase of 0.94%, translating to a 1.28% rise, bringing its valuation to $74.52.

On Tuesday morning, Redburn Atlantic upgraded Shopify stock from neutral to buy. The firm highlighted the company's leading integrations across social media and other platforms, as well as the growing functionality of the Shop Pay button. The analyst expects continued growth driven by Gen Z's online spending, projecting a price target of $99, indicating a 33% upside.

In the second quarter, Shopify reported 21% revenue growth, and its free cash flow margin increased to 16%. The company is now profitable under GAAP, though it trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 76 on an adjusted basis.

Shopify (SHOP, Financial) boasts a range of metrics that underscore its financial strength. The company holds a market cap of $96.22 billion and an equity-to-asset ratio of 0.81, indicating a robust balance sheet. Additionally, Shopify has a notable Altman Z-Score of 27.17 and a Piotroski F-Score of 7, signifying strong financial health.

Moreover, Shopify's gross margin stands at 51.07%, although it has declined slightly over time. The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) is at 13.21%, but this is lower than its weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 18.82%, suggesting some inefficiencies in capital allocation.

Despite trading at a high P/E ratio of 76.04, Shopify's stock is considered fairly valued according to its GF Value of $78.54. This indicates that the stock is trading close to its intrinsic value, with potential for future gains.

While reaching the $99 price target in the next year may still be challenging, Shopify remains a strong buy due to its strategic positioning and promising long-term prospects. Investors should consider the company’s solid financial metrics and growth potential driven by the expanding e-commerce market.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.