MU Stock Surges on Strong Fiscal Q4 Results and Positive Guidance

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Shares of Micron Technology (MU, Financial) surged 13.72% following the release of its fiscal fourth-quarter results. The significant stock movement was primarily fueled by the company's optimistic outlook for the current quarter, indicating a strong performance ahead.

Micron Technology (MU, Financial) reported revenue of $7.75 billion and per-share operating earnings of $1.18 for the three-month stretch ending in late August. These figures represent a substantial improvement from the previous year's revenue of $4.01 billion and a per-share loss of $1.07. Both numbers also surpassed analyst expectations of $7.65 billion in sales and $1.11 per share in profits.

The continued demand for high-bandwidth memory chips used in artificial intelligence (AI) computing platforms greatly contributed to Micron's strong performance.

Looking ahead, Micron provided revenue guidance for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 at $8.7 billion at the midpoint, compared to analysts' consensus of $8.27 billion. The company also anticipates per-share earnings of $1.74, beating analysts' average estimate of $1.52 per share.

CEO Sanjay Mehrotra added, "We forecast record revenue in fiscal Q1 and a substantial revenue record with significantly improved profitability in fiscal 2025."

In terms of valuation, Micron Technology (MU, Financial) is currently priced at $108.91, boasting a market cap of $120.76 billion. The stock's price-to-book (P/B) ratio stands at 2.73, indicating a fair valuation. Despite the impressive stock performance, the company's GF Value suggests the stock is Significantly Overvalued with a GF Value of $73.32.

Financially, Micron's Altman Z-score of 4.3 is strong, indicating a robust financial position. Moreover, the Beneish M-Score of -2.22 suggests that the company is unlikely to be manipulating its financial statements. On the downside, the company's revenue per share has been in decline over the last five years, which is a notable warning sign.

Additional metrics such as a high EBITDA growth of 21% over the past year and a stable cash ratio of 1.23 contribute to the positive outlook. However, factors like declining net margins of -7.20% and free cash flow (FCF) margin of -6.44% highlight areas for improvement.

In summary, while Micron Technology (MU, Financial) has shown remarkable growth and financial strength, investors should remain cautious due to its current overvaluation and certain financial weaknesses.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.