Conagra Brands (CAG) Stock Drops After Disappointing Earnings Report

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Oct 02, 2024
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Shares of Conagra Brands (CAG, Financial) experienced a significant decline today, with the stock price falling to $30, representing an 8.31% decrease. The drop came after the company reported its fiscal Q1 2025 earnings, which fell short of Wall Street expectations in both organic revenue and EPS. The company attributed the shortfall to weaker pricing and volumes, as well as a $27 million sales impact from temporary manufacturing disruptions in its Hebrew National business during the key grilling season.

Conagra Brands operates predominantly within the United States, with over 90% of its revenue from the domestic market, primarily selling frozen food and other packaged food products. Despite this recent setback, Conagra Brands has shown a year-to-date price change of 8.49%. However, the company is facing challenges as highlighted by a declining operating margin, which has been dropping by an average of 11.6% annually over the past five years. This suggests potential profitability concerns moving forward.

From a valuation perspective, Conagra Brands (CAG, Financial) is currently trading with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 41.1, which is close to its 10-year high. This could indicate that the stock is somewhat overvalued relative to its historical price range. The stock's Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio stands at 1.7, offering insights into its book value relative to the market price. According to GuruFocus, the GF Value indicates that Conagra Brands is "Modestly Undervalued," with a GF Value of 35.33, suggesting potential upside. For more on GF Value, visit the GF Value page.

Financially, the company's Altman Z-score of 1.92 places it in the grey area, implying some financial stress. Additionally, Conagra's return on invested capital (ROIC) is lower than its weighted average cost of capital (WACC), highlighting potential inefficiencies in capital utilization. Despite these challenges, the company benefits from a strong cash flow growth of 157.5% year-over-year, which could support future operational improvements.

In conclusion, while Conagra Brands (CAG, Financial) has experienced a downturn due to recent operational challenges, its valuation metrics and strong cash flow growth present a mixed outlook. Investors should weigh the company's profitability challenges against its potential undervaluation and strong domestic market presence as they consider investment decisions.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.