Is Occidental Petroleum Corp (OXY) Set to Underperform? Analyzing the Factors Limiting Growth

Exploring the Challenges Facing Occidental Petroleum Corp in the Oil & Gas Industry

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Oct 04, 2024

Long-established in the Oil & Gas industry, Occidental Petroleum Corp (OXY, Financial) has enjoyed a stellar reputation. It has recently witnessed a daily gain of 0.68%, juxtaposed with a three-month change of -11.28%. However, fresh insights from the GF Score hint at potential headwinds. Notably, its diminished rankings in financial strength, growth, and valuation suggest that the company might not live up to its historical performance. Join us as we dive deep into these pivotal metrics to unravel the evolving narrative of Occidental Petroleum Corp.

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What Is the GF Score?

The GF Score is a stock performance ranking system developed by GuruFocus using five aspects of valuation, which has been found to be closely correlated to the long-term performances of stocks by backtesting from 2006 to 2021. The stocks with a higher GF Score generally generate higher returns than those with a lower GF Score. Therefore, when picking stocks, investors should invest in companies with high GF Scores. The GF Score ranges from 0 to 100, with 100 as the highest rank.

Based on the above method, GuruFocus assigned Occidental Petroleum Corp a GF Score of 68 out of 100, which signals poor future outperformance potential.

Understanding Occidental Petroleum Corp's Business

Occidental Petroleum Corp is an independent exploration and production company with operations in the United States, Latin America, and the Middle East. At the end of 2023, the company reported net proved reserves of nearly 4 billion barrels of oil equivalent. Net production averaged 1,234 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2023 at a ratio of roughly 50% oil and natural gas liquids and 50% natural gas. With a market cap of $50.54 billion and sales of $27.12 billion, the company's operating margin stands at 20.61%.

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Financial Strength Breakdown

Occidental Petroleum Corp's financial strength indicators present some concerning insights about the company's balance sheet health. The company's Altman Z-Score is just 1.74, which is below the distress zone of 1.81. This suggests that the company may face financial distress over the next few years. Additionally, the company's low cash-to-debt ratio at 0.09 indicates a struggle in handling existing debt levels.

Growth Prospects

A lack of significant growth is another area where Occidental Petroleum Corp seems to falter, as evidenced by the company's low Growth rank. Lastly, Occidental Petroleum Corp's predictability rank is just one star out of five, adding to investor uncertainty regarding revenue and earnings consistency.

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Conclusion

Considering Occidental Petroleum Corp's financial strength, profitability, and growth metrics, the GF Score highlights the firm's unparalleled position for potential underperformance. Investors seeking more robust investment opportunities may consider exploring other companies with stronger GF Scores using the following screener link: GF Score Screen.

This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.