Why American Express (AXP) Stock is Down Today

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Oct 18, 2024
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American Express (AXP, Financial) experienced a notable decline in its stock price, decreasing by 4.07% amid investor concerns over its latest earnings report. While the company surpassed earnings expectations, slightly lower-than-expected revenue and increased reserves for credit losses prompted a cautious response from the market.

Despite the strong performance in earnings, with adjusted operating earnings per share reaching $3.49, above the anticipated $3.28, American Express (AXP, Financial) saw its shares fall. Revenue for the quarter rose to $16.6 billion from the previous year’s $15.4 billion, but the concerns over affluent cardholder spending and rising loan delinquencies overshadowed these results.

Looking at the stock's current valuation, American Express (AXP, Financial) is traded at a price of $274.16. The stock’s Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio stands at 20.46, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to some industry peers. The Price-to-Book (PB) ratio is also nearing historical highs at 6.61, which could suggest overvaluation.

According to the GF Value metric, American Express is deemed "modestly overvalued" with a GF Value of $231.65. For detailed insights, refer to the GF Value page.

Despite concerns, American Express (AXP, Financial) maintains a solid Piotroski F-Score of 7, indicating a healthy financial position, and a low Beneish M-Score of -2.63, suggesting it's unlikely to be manipulating earnings. With a predictability rank of 5, the company has demonstrated consistent growth in revenue and earnings over time.

The company faces medium-level warnings due to its dividend yield being close to a 10-year low and its stock price and PB ratio being near historical highs. However, positive signs such as high revenue per share growth and strong overall financial strength provide a balanced outlook.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.