MGPI Stock Declines Due to Weak Preliminary Q3 Guidance

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Oct 18, 2024

Shares of MGP Ingredients (MGPI, Financial) dropped 26.18% after the company issued weak preliminary guidance for its third-quarter earnings, projecting both revenue and adjusted EBITDA to fall short of Wall Street expectations. The decline is attributed to sluggish trends in the alcohol spirits category and high inventory levels in the whiskey industry, which management expects to persist throughout the year.

MGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI, Financial) is currently trading at a price of $60.22. Despite the significant drop, the stock is categorized as "Significantly Undervalued" with a GF Value of $96.53. For more information on GF Value, you can visit the GF Value page.

With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.94, MGP Ingredients shows a relative valuation appeal when compared to its industry peers. The company has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.48, which is close to the 3-year low, indicating a potential buying opportunity. Meanwhile, the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio stands at 1.68.

The financial health of MGPI is reinforced by an Altman Z-score of 3.81, indicating strong financial stability. The Beneish M-Score of -2.34 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

On the profitability front, MGP Ingredients is experiencing margin expansion with an operating margin of 21.75%. The stock’s dividend yield is close to a 2-year high, providing an additional incentive for income-focused investors.

However, there are some warning signs, such as a slowdown in revenue growth over the past 12 months and faster asset growth compared to revenue, which could imply decreased efficiency. Additionally, the company has witnessed insider selling with no insider buying over the past three months, which may be a point of concern.

Overall, the long-term outlook for MGP Ingredients (MGPI, Financial) will depend on its ability to navigate current industry challenges and capitalize on its undervalued stock status.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.