Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Home Closings and Revenue Surge

Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) reports its best third quarter ever with significant growth in home closings and earnings, despite challenges in the economic environment.

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4 days ago
Summary
  • Revenue: Home closings revenue grew 26% year over year to $523 million.
  • Home Closings: Closed 956 new homes, a 26.8% increase year over year.
  • Gross Margin: Home building gross margin was 32.7% for the third quarter.
  • Net Income: Increased 23.5% to $89 million.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): Increased 26.9% year over year to $1.98.
  • Average Selling Price (ASP): Declined 0.8% year over year to $547,000.
  • Net Debt to Total Capital Ratio: 12.5% at the end of the third quarter.
  • Total Debt to Total Capital Ratio: 16.4% with a weighted average interest rate of 3.4%.
  • Return on Equity: Year-to-date annualized return on equity was 27%.
  • Return on Assets: Year-to-date annualized return on assets was 18%.
  • Net New Home Orders: Increased 11.3% year over year to 877 orders.
  • Backlog Value: Decreased 6.5% year over year to $582 million.
  • Community Count: Increased 23% to 106 communities.
  • Cancellation Rate: Remained low at 8.5%.
  • Spec Units Under Construction: 69% of total units under construction.
  • Share Repurchase: Bought back approximately 97,700 shares for $5.4 million.
  • Cash on Hand: $80 million at the end of the third quarter.
  • Available Credit: $360 million fully available under lines of credit.
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Release Date: October 31, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK, Financial) achieved its best third quarter in company history with 956 new home closings and a 26% year-over-year increase in home closings revenue to $523 million.
  • The company has maintained industry-leading gross margins, with a year-to-date home building gross margin of 33.6%, up 290 basis points from the previous year.
  • Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) has a strong financial position with a net debt to total capital ratio of 12.5% and a total debt to total capital ratio of 16.4%, with a weighted average interest rate of 3.4%.
  • The company has a robust land strategy, owning and controlling over 37,000 lots, which positions it well for future growth and provides a five-year lot supply for its builders.
  • Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) reported a 23.5% increase in net income to $89 million and a 26.9% increase in earnings per share to $1.98, setting a record for any third quarter in its history.

Negative Points

  • The average selling price (ASP) for new home orders decreased by 9.8% year over year to $518,000, due to a shift in community mix and a higher percentage of sales from the lower ASP Trophy brand.
  • Home building gross margins decreased by 60 basis points year over year to 32.7% in the third quarter, partly due to increased incentives and discounts.
  • The backlog value at the end of the third quarter decreased by 6.5% year over year to $582 million.
  • The company faces challenges in the current economic environment, with limited demand due to buyer psychology and affordability concerns.
  • Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) anticipates potential borrowing on its lines of credit due to significant land acquisition and development spending, which may impact its cash flow.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Jim, can you discuss community count growth into '25 and SG&A leverage?
A: (James Brickman, CEO) Community count growth is tied to our spec-heavy model, where starts and sales are closely aligned. Larger trophy communities will have greater sales paces. (Richard Costello, CFO) SG&A is expected to remain constant, with potential benefits from top-line growth.

Q: How does entering the northern part of Austin fit with Green Brick's infill strategy?
A: (James Brickman, CEO) Our entry into Austin, particularly Georgetown, aligns with our infill strategy. It's a desirable location, and many builders view it as an A+ location. We aim to find more opportunities like this despite the competitive land market.

Q: Can you provide insights on October's trends with rising rates?
A: (James Brickman, CEO) Business remains good, but we avoid giving monthly data to prevent setting a precedent. We remain optimistic about our performance.

Q: How does the starts pace relate to delivery volume as business mix shifts?
A: (Richard Costello, CFO) The relationship remains 2 to 3 quarters out from starts pace. Cycle times have improved, and we aim to maintain around 1,000 starts per quarter, adjusting for demand elasticity and incentives.

Q: What levels of pricing adjustments are being made to move homes?
A: (Jed Dolson, COO) We focus on incentives rather than base pricing adjustments. Incentives have averaged around 6% over the past few months, reflecting market conditions.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.