Ryanair Holdings PLC (RYAAY) H1 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Profit Declines Amid Strong Traffic Growth

Despite a drop in profits, Ryanair Holdings PLC (RYAAY) reports record passenger numbers and strategic cost management.

Author's Avatar
Nov 05, 2024
Summary
  • After-Tax Profits: EUR1.8 billion, 18% lower than the prior year H1 profit of EUR2.18 billion.
  • Traffic Growth: Increased by 9% to a record of EUR115 million.
  • Average Fares: Fell by 10% in the half year, with a 15% decline in Q1 and 7% in Q2.
  • Revenue: Increased by 10% to EUR2.74 billion.
  • Operating Costs: Rose by 8%, lagging behind the 9% traffic growth.
  • Gross Cash: Over EUR3.3 billion at the end of the half year.
  • Net Cash: EUR600 million as of September 30.
  • CapEx: EUR900 million spent in H1.
  • Share Buybacks: Completed a $700 million buyback in August; 30% of the EUR800 million follow-on buyback completed.
  • Interim Dividend: EUR0.223 per share declared.
  • Fuel Hedge Position: 85% hedged for H2 FY25 at $79 a barrel; 75% for FY26 at $77 per barrel.
  • Fleet Size: 172 Gamechangers in a 608 aircraft fleet by the end of October.
  • Passenger Forecast: Revised to just under 200 million for FY25, down from an original target of 205 million.
  • Unit Costs: Expected to be broadly flat for the full year.
  • CapEx Guidance: EUR2.3 billion for the year, with some likely to slip into next year.
Article's Main Image

Release Date: November 04, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Ryanair Holdings PLC (RYAAY, Financial) reported H1 after-tax profits of EUR1.8 billion, despite being 18% lower than the prior year.
  • The company experienced strong traffic growth of 9%, reaching a record of 115 million passengers.
  • Ryanair Holdings PLC (RYAAY) has a strong balance sheet with over EUR3.3 billion in gross cash and a net cash position of EUR600 million.
  • The company completed a EUR700 million share buyback in August and is progressing with an EUR800 million follow-on buyback.
  • Ryanair Holdings PLC (RYAAY) is 85% hedged for the second half of FY25 at $79 a barrel, providing cost stability amid volatile oil markets.

Negative Points

  • H1 after-tax profits were 18% lower than the previous year, impacted by Boeing delivery delays.
  • Average fares fell by 10% in the half year, with a significant decline of 15% in Q1.
  • The company is facing delays in Boeing aircraft deliveries, affecting its growth targets for FY25 and FY26.
  • Ryanair Holdings PLC (RYAAY) had to adjust its passenger growth targets due to aircraft delivery delays, reducing expectations for FY25 and FY26.
  • The company is experiencing pressure on consumer spending, contributing to price softness and impacting revenue.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you provide more details on the impact of the ATC situation and how it affected your operations this summer?
A: Michael O'Leary, Group CEO, explained that the ATC disruptions were more significant than anticipated, affecting load factors and pricing. The OTA dispute also contributed to the impact. Ryanair is working to resolve these issues and expects improvements in future operations.

Q: What are your expectations for ex-fuel costs and delay compensation in the coming months?
A: Neil Sorahan, Group CFO, stated that while they won't quantify delay compensation, it is expected to be modest. Ex-fuel costs are expected to remain broadly flat, with improvements seen in the second quarter continuing into the third and fourth quarters.

Q: How are you planning to allocate growth given the current aviation tax environment in various countries?
A: Michael O'Leary mentioned that Ryanair is reallocating capacity from countries with high aviation taxes, like France and Germany, to those reducing taxes, such as Hungary and Sweden. This strategy aims to optimize growth in more favorable tax environments.

Q: Can you elaborate on the progress with OTAs and the remaining challenges with eDreams and Booking.com?
A: Michael O'Leary noted that over 90% of OTAs have signed up to approved agreements, ensuring customers receive real Ryanair prices. eDreams and Booking.com are the main holdouts, but Ryanair expects them to eventually comply due to competitive pressures.

Q: What are your thoughts on the MAX 10 certification and its impact on your fleet growth?
A: Michael O'Leary expressed optimism about the MAX 10 certification, expected in the second half of 2025. The aircraft will enhance Ryanair's cost efficiency and support its growth trajectory, with deliveries anticipated to begin in 2027.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.