Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Record EPS Growth and Strategic Investments

Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) reports its 22nd consecutive year of EPS growth and outlines ambitious capital investment plans for future expansion.

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5 days ago
Summary
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): $6.83, marking the 22nd consecutive year of EPS growth.
  • Dividend Growth: 40th consecutive year of dividend growth.
  • Capital Investment: Over $2.9 billion in fiscal '24.
  • New Customers: Added over 59,000 new residential and commercial customers, with over 46,000 in Texas.
  • Commercial Customer Growth: Added nearly 3,500 new commercial customers, a 19% increase over the prior fiscal year.
  • Industrial Customer Growth: Added 39 industrial customers, expected to consume approximately 8.4 BCF of gas annually.
  • Operating Income Increases: Implemented $376 million in annualized operating income increases.
  • Consolidated O&M Increase: $65 million increase, driven by higher employee-related costs and increased system monitoring.
  • Capital Spending Increase: Increased by 5% or $131 million to $2.9 billion.
  • Rate Base Growth: Increased by approximately 13% to an estimated $19 billion as of September 30th.
  • Fiscal '25 EPS Guidance: $7.05 to $7.25, implying 7.4% growth excluding one-time items.
  • Fiscal '25 Capital Spending Guidance: Approximately $3.7 billion.
  • Annual Dividend Increase: 8.1% increase over fiscal '24, with an indicated annual dividend of $3.48.
  • Five-Year Plan Capital Investment: Approximately $24 billion, supporting rate base growth of 13-15% per year.
  • Long-Term Financing: $15 billion of incremental long-term financing planned over five years.
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Release Date: November 07, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Atmos Energy Corp (ATO, Financial) reported earnings per share of $6.83, marking the 22nd consecutive year of earnings per share growth.
  • The company achieved its 40th consecutive year of dividend growth, reflecting strong financial performance.
  • Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) added over 59,000 new residential and commercial customers in fiscal 2024, with significant growth in Texas.
  • The company completed significant infrastructure projects, including the modernization of natural gas distribution and transmission systems.
  • Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) has a strong balance sheet with approximately $4.8 billion of available liquidity, supporting future operations and growth.

Negative Points

  • The company faces increased operational and maintenance costs, driven by higher employee-related expenses and system monitoring activities.
  • Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) anticipates a 4% annual increase in operational and maintenance expenses, which could impact future profitability.
  • The company is exposed to market conditions that could affect pricing and spreads, as seen with unplanned maintenance impacting fiscal 2024 results.
  • There is uncertainty regarding future regulatory changes and their potential impact on the company's operations and financial performance.
  • The company plans significant capital investments, which may require substantial financing and could impact debt levels and interest expenses.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you provide clarity on your financing strategy, particularly regarding the $8 billion shelf registration and $1.7 billion ATM program?
A: Christopher Forsythe, CFO, explained that Atmos Energy plans to maintain a balanced approach with 50% equity and 50% long-term debt to support their $15 billion financing needs over the next five years. The ATM program will be used to meet equity needs, while long-term debt will help preserve the balance sheet's strength.

Q: How should we think about interest costs and maintaining the debt-to-capitalization ratio in the five-year plan?
A: Forsythe noted that the company is comfortable with its current debt-to-capitalization ratio and will continue to use interest rate hedging to lock in costs when market conditions are favorable. This strategy has been successful in saving money for customers.

Q: What factors are driving the increased pace of system investment in your five-year plan?
A: Kevin Akers, CEO, highlighted robust customer growth, particularly in Texas, as a key driver. The company is investing in infrastructure to meet growing demand and ensure safety and reliability. This includes projects like the completion of Line S2 and the WA Loop.

Q: With a 13-15% rate base growth, why is the EPS growth guidance only 6-8%?
A: Akers stated that the company takes a conservative approach to its guidance, considering global and economic uncertainties. Forsythe added that increased O&M costs, now projected at 4% annually, also impact EPS growth relative to rate base growth.

Q: How are you approaching the Waha spread benefits in your 2025 guidance?
A: Akers mentioned that the company expects spreads to normalize and will approach future operations on a normalized basis, focusing on off-peak periods for additional opportunities.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.