Why GlobalFoundries (GFS) Stock Is Moving Today

Author's Avatar
Oct 04, 2024

Shares of GlobalFoundries (GFS, Financial) saw a modest increase of 1.98% recently, yet concerns linger due to earlier declines attributed to sector-wide geopolitical and economic challenges. Despite this small uptick, GlobalFoundries has struggled to mirror the recovery observed in other semiconductor stocks.

Throughout 2024, GlobalFoundries (GFS, Financial) has experienced significant volatility, with negative returns in six out of nine months leading to a cumulative 36% decrease in stock value. This performance contrasts sharply with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's impressive 73% increase. One notable aspect of GlobalFoundries' setback is its relatively limited involvement in the booming artificial intelligence (AI) market, focusing instead on smartphone, automotive, and Internet of Things (IoT) sectors, which have been hit hard by inventory surpluses.

From a valuation perspective, GlobalFoundries (GFS, Financial) is currently trading at $39.72 with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 27.02. The stock shows a price-to-book (P/B) ratio close to its 3-year low at 1.95. Despite these lows, the company's GF Value suggests that it is Modestly Undervalued at its current price point, with a GF Value of $50.47 offering potential upside.

Despite challenges, GlobalFoundries (GFS, Financial) demonstrates some positive signs, including an unlikely manipulator status as per the Beneish M-Score and a Free Cash Flow Yield standing at 5.06%. However, the company's Altman Z-Score of 1.77 places it in a financial distress zone, implying a higher bankruptcy risk over the next two years.

In conclusion, while GlobalFoundries (GFS, Financial) faces distinct challenges in the semiconductor industry, especially concerning its gross margins and sector focus, its current valuation metrics suggest potential investment attractiveness amidst industry recovery signals.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.