Lucid Group (LCID) Stock Rises After Q4 EV Delivery Report

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Jan 06, 2025

Shares of Lucid Group (LCID, Financial) experienced a significant price surge today, with the stock rising by 3.19% to reach a price of $3.395. This positive movement is attributed to the company's remarkable fourth-quarter electric vehicle (EV) delivery results.

Lucid Group (LCID, Financial) has reported impressive figures for the fourth quarter, with a record production of 3,386 vehicles, delivering 3,099 EVs. Throughout the year, Lucid produced over 9,000 vehicles and delivered 10,241. This delivery trend, where deliveries surpass production, aligns with patterns seen in other EV makers like Rivian Automotive and Tesla. The positive delivery metrics have reduced inventory levels, which may positively impact Lucid's future financial results, scheduled for release in late February.

Despite a modest 7% increase in production levels, Lucid Group (LCID, Financial) saw deliveries escalate by 71% compared to the previous year, potentially improving financial outcomes by offsetting fixed costs. However, the company reported a significant operating loss of $2.3 billion over the first nine months of 2024, casting a shadow on its financial health.

Investors remain cautious about Lucid's road to profitability based on its current production figures. The focus is now on the upcoming Gravity SUV, expected to begin production of one model before the end of 2024, with another model expected later in the year. The Gravity SUV marks Lucid Group's expansion beyond luxury electric sedans into the SUV market.

On the valuation front, Lucid Group (LCID, Financial) presents a complex picture. The stock's GF Value categorizes it as a "Possible Value Trap," urging caution for potential investors. With a GF Value of $6.56, there is a significant divergence from its current market price. For more detailed analysis of Lucid Group's GF Value, refer to the GF Value page. The company also faces several financial warning signs, including an Altman Z-score indicating a distress zone and a significant long-term debt increase of $3.9 billion over the past three years.

Moreover, Lucid Group (LCID, Financial) has a challenging path ahead regarding profitability, underscored by a troubling Beneish M-Score suggesting possible financial manipulation. Nevertheless, insider buying activity could provide a glimmer of hope, highlighting confidence from some circles within the company.

In summary, while Lucid Group's (LCID, Financial) recent delivery results are promising, investors should weigh these against the company's financial vulnerabilities and market valuation before making investment decisions.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.