Susquehanna has begun its analysis of MSG Sports (MSGS, Financial), assigning a Positive rating along with a price target of $254. MSG Sports is primarily focused on the value generated from its two significant professional sports franchises. The firm identifies these franchises as appealing investments, particularly in light of recent challenges faced by the New York Rangers' lackluster season and broader market turmoil affecting asset valuations.
Despite these difficulties, Susquehanna suggests that MSGS could experience a favorable shift in the near future. Specifically, the stock might see a boost following the New York Knicks' successful advancement past the first round of the playoffs. This development could enhance the company's market standing and provide a positive influence on its stock performance.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 6 analysts, the average target price for Madison Square Garden Sports Corp (MSGS, Financial) is $246.79 with a high estimate of $314.00 and a low estimate of $171.76. The average target implies an upside of 28.43% from the current price of $192.16. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Madison Square Garden Sports Corp (MSGS) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 7 brokerage firms, Madison Square Garden Sports Corp's (MSGS, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.1, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Madison Square Garden Sports Corp (MSGS, Financial) in one year is $211.93, suggesting a upside of 10.29% from the current price of $192.16. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Madison Square Garden Sports Corp (MSGS) Summary page.
MSGS Key Business Developments
Release Date: February 04, 2025
- Revenue: $357.8 million for fiscal 2025 Q2, up from $326.9 million in the prior year period.
- Adjusted Operating Income: $20.2 million, a decrease of $16.8 million from the prior year.
- Event-Related Revenues: $139.4 million, a 14% year-over-year increase.
- Suites and Sponsorship Revenues: $79.4 million, a 15% year-over-year increase.
- National and Local Media Rights Fees: $126.9 million, a 4% increase year-over-year.
- Direct Operating Expenses: Increased due to higher team personnel compensation and luxury tax.
- Cash Balance: Approximately $108 million at the end of the quarter.
- Debt Balance: $305 million, including $275 million under the Knicks senior secured revolving credit facility and $30 million advanced from the NHL.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- Madison Square Garden Sports Corp (MSGS, Financial) reported strong revenue growth, with fiscal 2025 Q2 revenues reaching approximately $358 million, reflecting robust demand across ticketing, suites, sponsorship, and merchandise.
- The Knicks and Rangers have seen significant fan engagement, with a combined season ticket renewal rate of approximately 97%, indicating strong customer loyalty.
- Innovative merchandise collaborations, such as those with Kith and New York or Nowhere, have resulted in record single-game merchandise sales for both the Knicks and Rangers.
- MSG Sports has secured new multiyear sponsorship deals, including a significant agreement with Abu Dhabi's Department of Culture and Tourism, enhancing brand visibility and revenue streams.
- The company maintains a strong liquidity position with over $100 million in cash and substantial borrowing capacity, providing financial flexibility to navigate potential challenges.
Negative Points
- Adjusted operating income decreased by $16.8 million to $20.2 million, primarily due to increased direct operating expenses and higher selling, general, and administrative expenses.
- The company faces challenges in the local media rights landscape, with MSG Networks seeking to renegotiate rights fees, potentially impacting revenue from local broadcasts.
- The RSN industry is under pressure, exemplified by Altice USA dropping MSG Networks from its offering, which could affect the distribution and revenue from local media rights.
- MSG Sports anticipates being a significant luxury taxpayer for the '24-'25 season due to higher team personnel compensation, impacting overall profitability.
- The company will host fewer regular season home games in the fiscal third and fourth quarters compared to the prior year, which may affect future revenue generation.
